Innovator Etfs Trust Etf Performance

XTOC Etf  USD 33.95  0.10  0.30%   
The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.57, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Innovator ETFs' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Innovator ETFs is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Innovator ETFs Trust are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Innovator ETFs is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
1
Trading Systems Reacting to Volatility - Stock Traders Daily
12/26/2025
2
Responsive Playbooks and the XTOC Inflection - Stock Traders Daily
01/28/2026

Innovator ETFs Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,303  in Innovator ETFs Trust on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  92.00  from holding Innovator ETFs Trust or generate 2.79% return on investment over 90 days. Innovator ETFs Trust is currently generating 0.0459% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.566% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 5% of etfs are less volatile than Innovator, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator ETFs is expected to generate 1.65 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.41 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Innovator ETFs Trust extending back to October 01, 2021. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Innovator ETFs stands at 33.95, as last reported on the 9th of February, with the highest price reaching 33.98 and the lowest price hitting 33.93 during the day.
3 y Volatility
7.37
200 Day MA
32.0311
1 y Volatility
9.26
50 Day MA
33.5346
Inception Date
2021-09-30
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Innovator ETFs Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Innovator Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 33.95 90 days 33.95 
about 10.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innovator ETFs to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.38 (This Innovator ETFs Trust probability density function shows the probability of Innovator Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator ETFs has a beta of 0.57. This entails as returns on the market go up, Innovator ETFs average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Innovator ETFs Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Innovator ETFs Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Innovator ETFs Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innovator ETFs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovator ETFs Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.3833.9534.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.1333.7034.27
Details

Innovator ETFs Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innovator ETFs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innovator ETFs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innovator ETFs Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innovator ETFs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Innovator ETFs Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Innovator ETFs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Innovator ETFs Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Responsive Playbooks and the XTOC Inflection - Stock Traders Daily
The fund keeps 235.32% of its net assets in stocks

Innovator ETFs Fundamentals Growth

Innovator Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Innovator ETFs, and Innovator ETFs fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Innovator Etf performance.

About Innovator ETFs Performance

By analyzing Innovator ETFs' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Innovator ETFs' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Innovator ETFs has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Innovator ETFs has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in a portfolio of FLEX Options that reference the SPDR SP 500 ETF Trust. Innovator is traded on BATS Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Responsive Playbooks and the XTOC Inflection - Stock Traders Daily
The fund keeps 235.32% of its net assets in stocks
When determining whether Innovator ETFs Trust is a strong investment it is important to analyze Innovator ETFs' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Innovator ETFs' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Innovator Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Innovator ETFs Trust. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Investors evaluate Innovator ETFs Trust using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Innovator ETFs' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Innovator ETFs' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Innovator ETFs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Innovator ETFs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Innovator ETFs' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.